Strategy Inc.’s STRC perpetual preferred stock has driven the purchase of 77,000 BTC in 2026, dwarfing spot Bitcoin ETF inflows. The market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 by April 30 sits at
The STRC-fueled buying has traders adjusting expectations for Bitcoin price predictions in April 2026. With Strategy’s institutional demand outweighing ETF activity, the market prices only a 15% chance of Bitcoin falling to $60,000. Strategy’s 77,000 BTC acquisition in 2026 alone signals heavy institutional accumulation that has kept bearish bets suppressed.
The April 30 sub-markets have 12 days until resolution. The spread reflects uncertainty, and the term structure suggests traders expect volatility tied to macroeconomic factors. Strategy’s massive BTC holdings could create a price floor that limits downside, even as geopolitical tensions persist.
Trading volume is thin. The market has seen no trades in the past 24 hours, meaning a single substantial order could easily move current odds. Order book depth and liquidity are the main indicators to track for stability in this environment.
A YES share at 15¢ pays $1 if Bitcoin hits $60,000 by April 30, a
Watch for updates on Strategy Inc.’s purchasing activity and shifts in ETF flows. Jerome Powell’s next statements on monetary policy could also move the market.
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